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My Vision

Written by Mean Lean on Tuesday, 12 February 2013 13:47

The race for fourth is well and truly taking shape with 12 games remaining. The teams are coming off the bend and this weekend Liverpool and Everton have both stumbled a little meaning they both have a lot of work to do to make close the gap. Tottenham have the four point advantage but they face on paper the more difficult run in but we all know what paper is like, it is flimsy at the best of times.

Tottenham are reasonably strong at home so I tend to look at their away fixtures as the main source of point dropping goodness.

Liverpool
Swansea
Chelsea
Stoke

Those are the tricky games away from White Hart Lane, they ain't winning all of those games that is for sure. A quick glance at last season will tell you that they picked up 3 points from a possible 12, not winning any of the games. Needless to say that it can mean very little as both teams change in personnel, form, circumstance etc but I would be up for something similar to that if you don't mind.

It is not all plain sailing at home either.

Arsenal
Everton
Manchester City

They managed 6 out of 9 from those games last season which is far better than the above away fixtures. The rest of those games both home and away are winnable games for them but it is more than likely that banana skins will be slipped on along the way. Well at least that is the hope.

Meanwhile Everton also have a slightly daunting fixture list on the horizon. Starting with their away fixtures.

Arsenal
Tottenham
Liverpool
Chelsea

Last season they won a grand total of 0 points from 12 *ouch* scoring a grand total of 1 goal *ouch* conceding 9 *double ouch*

You gotta think that they will do better than that this time round.

At home they have a pretty good collection of fixtures. Only Manchester City look like a really difficult game on paper screen which they won last season. They always beat Manchester City at home because those foreign diving softies don't like it up em do they?

Actually, I am being told in my ear piece that I am not allowed to use that as it must be saved exclusively (like Goal.com) for Arsenal. My apologies, I hope all will forgive me.

So what about us then? Let us continue with the Arsenal Vision tradition of going with the away fixtures first.

Tottenham
Swansea
Newcastle

Now on paper we could be forgiven for doing the butterfly dance in front of the mirror in hot pants but looking back through the window of time will quickly tell us to sit down and take a couple of Prozac to conquer our anxiety. We left those fixtures with only 1 point from those games.

At home we have the following to face

Everton
Manchester United

We managed 3 out of 6 from those games, a flukey van Persie volley which I think was an attempt to pass the ball to king Theo, from a hacked Song clearance or something or other. I forget the finer details.

I would include Chelsea into all of this but 1) they have an easy run in and 2) I am beyond lazy so be my guest and do the research yourself, let me know if you can be bothered.

What I will be bothered to do is a rather pointless total of the remaining fixtures for ourselves, Tottenham and Everton going by last season's results and a look to where the teams would finish if the same results happened.

Pos Team Pts
1 ?
2 ?
3 ?
4 Tottenham 70
5 Arsenal 55
6 Everton 51


Who's stupid bloody idea was it to do this? What a load of tosh anyway. I have had to do some creative adjustments as teams like the relegated teams and promoted teams have changed so Reading is in fact Blackburn Rovers and West Ham is Bolton.

Basically we need to do a damn sight better against the teams we face than we did last season and fingers crossed, Tottenham do worse against the remaining teams than they did last season.

There is not much in it really, it will be down to that C word again and no, not Tony Pulis, I am talking about consistency.

The team that can string the most amount of victories together as well as not dwelling on the inevitable defeats will do it.

It is going to be tight as currently both teams are in decent form. I say both teams but you cannot ignore Everton who have improved this season.

This wasn't actually going to be the blog topic today, I wanted to talk about the 4th trophy business. Perhaps I shall write about this tomorrow.

In the meantime enjoy your Tuesday.

Comments (11)

  • Kevin  - Interesting analysis
    avatar
    However, as Chelsea are only 1 point ahead of Spurs, you should have added them to the analysis.

    Personally, I think that both 3rd and 4th are up for grabs between 4 teams. Indeed, unless Man City arrests their backward momentum, it is not beyond the realm of belief that 2nd will also be up for grabs.
  • Alan
    avatar
    Much like 40 points is the magic number for the teams fighting relegation, 70 points tends to get you fourth place. Even as a spurs fan, I think Arsenal are favourites. Experience is one factor you benefit from but the crucial one is that you have more match winners in your team than Spurs or Everton. Cazorla, Walcott, Giroud and Poldoski are all regular goalscorers. Spurs have Bale and Defoe. Adebayor (as you know) is a thunder cunt of a man who stopped playing for us the moment he inked his new contract. Everton have Fellaini and Jelavic.

    Of course each team will have other scorers but these are the main outlets and I think Arsenal are less at risk if individuals go off the boil/get injured.

    It promises to be a good contest. At least none of us are Villa fans.
  • I love Barclays  - Miss Marple
    avatar
    Quote: "The team that can string the most amount of victories together as well as not dwelling on the inevitable defeats will do it."

    so basically it has taken you all that page space to say - whoever wins the most games will finish 4th? No sh*t Sherlock.

    With such clinical and incisive analysis of the league standings and your almost supernatural understanding of the nuances and tactics of the modern game i'm sure that either all the major football clubs will be trying to sign Mean Lean up as their manager next year or Ladbrooks will be begging you to become thier head of risk analysis.

    Brilliant.
  • hasibullah  - champions league spot
    avatar
    according to my statistic analysis which comprises home and away games and the percentage of winable and losable games it will be as follows: 3_arsenal 72 points 4_chelsea 71 points 5 spurs 66 points 6_everton 66 points.
  • MeanLean
    avatar
    I love Barclays - Miss Marple,

    So pleased you got that off your chest, sure you feel loads better. Maybe you can tell the kids in future how you showed that Internet Blogger. Well done
  • andy spurs  - Excellent
    avatar
    Nice to see that you guys think the same and like you I have been going through the up and coming fixtures and seeing were we might pick up points and where we will end up
    As a Spurs fan I really should give up doing this as it always goes wrong , but hey nice that we are in this position more and more
    Enjoy the rest of the season and may the best team win , as long as its Spurs
  • greavsy  - forth place
    avatar
    the actual finish will be man u, man city, chelsea and spurs. thats it final the rest dream on.
  • Santa Claus  - Is haibullah really Rodney?
    avatar
    hasibullah -so Arsenal are going to pick up 28 popints out of 36 having so far got 44 out of 78? Lov your maths and gullibilty. I have the Ark Royal and Tower Bridge for sale and only 100 quid. Do you want to buy them?
  • CoysRus  - Stats
    avatar
    This will be tight again this year. Difference is you have no RVP to score late to win you games. Have predicted Chelski 3rd, THFC 4th (71pts), Arseanal (69pts), Everton & Liverpool (65 pts). Although if Man City and Chelski keep being inconsistent then their place in jeopardy for sure. Gooners got 3rd last year by winning many on the trot when we had our tougher run. They are likely to have a few stumbles this time round.
  • Zayed
    avatar
    Im scared of spurs :( stupid bale leave to Real already. In all honesty it all comes down to march, a win against spurs and everton and I think we have it in the bag mentally.
  • Joecarbonuk  - Great analysis
    avatar
    I don't know how you've not been approached by sky with that compelling and insightful analysis, mean lean!

    I think we can all deduce that 1, either Chelsea, spurs, Everton or arsenal will finish 4th and 2, that some football will have to be played before we find out.

    But I will say this, based on what I have seen in the last few weeks, we seem to be playing our slick, quick and exciting game again and that bodes well for us.

    Up the Arsenal!
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